{"id":4185,"date":"2024-10-18T23:07:23","date_gmt":"2024-10-18T23:07:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/xstorynews.com\/?p=4185"},"modified":"2024-10-18T23:07:23","modified_gmt":"2024-10-18T23:07:23","slug":"trump-tops-harris-in-nate-silvers-model-weeks-out-from-election","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/xstorynews.com\/?p=4185","title":{"rendered":"Trump Tops Harris In Nate Silver\u2019s Model Weeks Out From Election"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-4186\" src=\"https:\/\/xstorynews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/zeza-13-300x245.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"245\" srcset=\"https:\/\/xstorynews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/zeza-13-300x245.jpg 300w, https:\/\/xstorynews.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/zeza-13.jpg 580w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Former President Trump has gained a narrow lead over Vice President Harris in pollster Nate Silver\u2019s prediction model just weeks before Election Day.<\/p>\n<p>Although the race remains essentially a toss-up, Trump now leads Harris by just over half a percentage point, with 50.2 percent to Harris\u2019s 49.5 percent, according to the model updated Thursday afternoon.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHowever nominal, it\u2019s Trump\u2019s first lead in our model since Sept. 19,\u201d\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.natesilver.net\/p\/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model#footnote-1-146002606\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Silver wrote<\/a>\u00a0on his Silver Bulletin site.<\/p>\n<p>The political forecaster noted that just a day earlier, Harris was leading Trump by about a point, with 50.3 percent to 49.4 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Trump gained ground with \u201csome good polls\u201d entering the database on Thursday, Silver wrote, including a 2-point lead in a Fox News poll and a lead in a Georgia survey, The Hill <a href=\"https:\/\/thehill.com\/homenews\/campaign\/4939442-trump-harris-nate-silver-model\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">noted<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Harris took the lead in Silver\u2019s polling aggregation model nearly a month ago. Neither candidate gained or lost significant ground after the earlier presidential debate on September 10, but Harris was performing strongly in five swing states, giving her an advantage.<\/p>\n<div class=\"code-block code-block-2\">Advertisement<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-7063311234970495\" data-ad-slot=\"2702911965\" data-ad-format=\"auto\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\" data-adsbygoogle-status=\"done\" data-ad-status=\"unfilled\"><\/p>\n<div id=\"aswift_1_host\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" id=\"aswift_1\" tabindex=\"0\" title=\"Advertisement\" src=\"https:\/\/googleads.g.doubleclick.net\/pagead\/ads?client=ca-pub-7063311234970495&amp;output=html&amp;h=280&amp;slotname=2702911965&amp;adk=1445025086&amp;adf=2098573761&amp;pi=t.ma~as.2702911965&amp;w=580&amp;abgtt=6&amp;fwrn=4&amp;fwrnh=100&amp;lmt=1729292777&amp;rafmt=1&amp;format=580x280&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fconservativebrief.com%2Ftrump-noted-86481%2F%3Futm_source%3DCB%26utm_medium%3D573%26fbclid%3DIwY2xjawF_yTlleHRuA2FlbQIxMAABHS6plbxBdigd5I-c2AumNHP0D81ql__Z5I5uJ_H-T2AvMrvUoifa0TGxjw_aem_qievk2Dxn8WaYCRtX3yDMQ&amp;fwr=0&amp;fwrattr=true&amp;rpe=1&amp;resp_fmts=3&amp;wgl=1&amp;dt=1729292777128&amp;bpp=1&amp;bdt=516&amp;idt=95&amp;shv=r20241014&amp;mjsv=m202410160101&amp;ptt=9&amp;saldr=aa&amp;abxe=1&amp;cookie=ID%3D5caea9ffc0836fce%3AT%3D1729209320%3ART%3D1729292703%3AS%3DALNI_MaLqq6jU98i-I7H8gB24ShoWvz2YA&amp;gpic=UID%3D00000f0cbb758f1e%3AT%3D1729209320%3ART%3D1729292703%3AS%3DALNI_MZmJZ6PUeTyedWMGI02BcG0Yrbdtw&amp;eo_id_str=ID%3D5cd20c1feb79e006%3AT%3D1729209320%3ART%3D1729292703%3AS%3DAA-AfjZe64kECXFHa8LDDntz_kYW&amp;prev_fmts=0x0&amp;nras=1&amp;correlator=119339358313&amp;frm=20&amp;pv=1&amp;u_tz=120&amp;u_his=1&amp;u_h=864&amp;u_w=1536&amp;u_ah=824&amp;u_aw=1536&amp;u_cd=24&amp;u_sd=1.25&amp;adx=470&amp;ady=2012&amp;biw=1519&amp;bih=711&amp;scr_x=0&amp;scr_y=0&amp;eid=95343853%2C44759876%2C44759927%2C44759842%2C31087659%2C95344188%2C95345271%2C31088222%2C31087608&amp;oid=2&amp;pvsid=1550161101566255&amp;tmod=99981455&amp;uas=0&amp;nvt=1&amp;ref=https%3A%2F%2Fl.facebook.com%2F&amp;fc=1920&amp;brdim=-7%2C-7%2C-7%2C-7%2C1536%2C0%2C1550%2C838%2C1536%2C711&amp;vis=1&amp;rsz=%7C%7CoeEbr%7C&amp;abl=CS&amp;pfx=0&amp;fu=128&amp;bc=31&amp;bz=1.01&amp;ifi=2&amp;uci=a!2&amp;btvi=1&amp;fsb=1&amp;dtd=100\" name=\"aswift_1\" width=\"580\" height=\"0\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" sandbox=\"allow-forms allow-popups allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox allow-same-origin allow-scripts allow-top-navigation-by-user-activation\" data-google-container-id=\"a!2\" aria-label=\"Advertisement\" data-load-complete=\"true\" data-google-query-id=\"CN66hM6FmYkDFduJgwcd-Jkz3Q\" data-mce-fragment=\"1\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><\/ins><\/div>\n<p>However, in September, Silver cautioned that the dynamics could shift before Election Day. He conveyed the same message in his Thursday post.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere\u2019s a good chance that the lead will continue to shift back and forth, akin to a 110-109 basketball game late in the fourth quarter,\u201d he wrote.<\/p>\n<p>Harris was riding high on momentum just a few months ago. After receiving President Biden\u2019s endorsement when he exited the race, she quickly gained traction over Trump nationally and in swing states as the Democrats\u2019 nominee at the party\u2019s convention.<\/p>\n<p>However, recent polls indicate that that momentum has leveled off, with Trump gaining ground nationally and in battleground states as the election approaches.<\/p>\n<p>According to The Hill\/Decision Desk HQ\u2019s polling index, Harris currently holds a 2.7 percentage point lead over Trump, with 49.8 percent support compared to Trump\u2019s 47.1 percent.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Former President Trump has gained a narrow lead over Vice President Harris in pollster Nate Silver\u2019s prediction model just weeks before Election Day. Although the race remains&#8230; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4185","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"a3_pvc":{"activated":false,"total_views":0,"today_views":0},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Trump Tops Harris In Nate Silver\u2019s Model Weeks Out From Election - X Story News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/xstorynews.com\/?p=4185\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump Tops Harris In Nate Silver\u2019s Model Weeks Out From Election - X Story News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Former President Trump has gained a narrow lead over Vice President Harris in pollster Nate Silver\u2019s prediction model just weeks before Election Day. 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