Population Shift From 2020 Census Likely To Benefit Trump In 2024 Election

A new analysis of 2020 Census Bureau data is better news for former President Donald Trump than it is for President Joe Biden, should the two face off against each other again next year.

According to Ballotpedia, 13 states lost and gained electoral votes following the last census. Texas, for instance, gained an additional two congressional districts/electoral college votes. Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina and Oregon each picked up one as well; three of those — Florida, Montana, and North Carolina — trend red or are genuinely red.

At the same time, California, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia each lost one. Of those, California, Illinois, Michigan, and New York are blue or trend blue, while Pennsylvania is leaning that way. Ohio and West Virginia are reliably red.

The poll showed Trump ahead of Biden in Arizona (47 to 43 percent), Georgia (48 to 43 percent), Wisconsin (46 to 44 percent) and Pennsylvania (46 to 45 percent) in a head-to-head matchup for the White House.

In an interview with radio host Michael Patrick Leahy for The Tennessee Star report on Tuesday, pollster John McLaughlin discussed what current state and national polling means, what polls to watch, and how to analyze new polling as it comes out in the months ahead.

…[I]t would be an electoral landslide because when you look at it, due to the census, there’s a little more electoral vote our way.

But if you look at the toss-up states from last time and you say, ‘This means he’s going to win Wisconsin, Michigan’ – that’s why I went to Detroit last week to stand up for union workers, going to lose their jobs in China.

Nevada 6 – we could win that. That was close last time.

We’ll win Georgia because they changed the election law to require a voter ID, not just for in-person, but also for absentee – there’re 16 electoral votes there.

We got a shot at Pennsylvania in spite of their trying to manipulate the mail-in votes. There’s 19 electoral votes there.

And Ohio has 7 – Ohio, we’re gonna win.

But there are 77 electoral votes that would switch.

So we would go from last time, 232 electoral votes – we’d be at 304 already.

“Morning Consult has Trump and Biden tied, but I’ve seen Trump up 9 in the Washington Post poll; and Trump up 3 in another. The polls say it’s looking good for Donald J. Trump,” he said.

Related Posts

He summed up his position in three powerful words

The warning from Washington was brutal. The threat: cut Spain off, shut down trade, punish defiance. In the Oval Office, Donald Trump named and shamed a NATO…

This is what would happen if Donald Trump dies in office…👇

In the “historic” and rapidly evolving geopolitical landscape of March 2026, the “light of truth” regarding American leadership has become a subject of intense “active awareness.” As…

–Savannah Guthrie just collapsed live on the TODAY show after police rushed to … See more

In 2026, where the “light of truth” is often obscured by the “absolute” speed of digital commentary, the network’s plea for privacy was met with a “historic”…

U.S Citizens urged to leave these countries immediately after Iran…See more

Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East — particularly following **U.S. and Israeli military strikes on Iranian targets — have prompted the United States Department of State…

U.S. Army captures a boat in Ve…See more

For more than seven decades, Dolly Parton has remained one of the most recognizable and enduring figures in American popular culture. Few artists have managed to evolve…

🚨 BREAKING: The US just launched military operations in…See more

BREAKING: Reports are circulating that the United States has launched military operations in Ecuador. As of now, there has been no official confirmation from the U.S. Department…

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *