A newly released Morning Consult poll last week found that Donald Trump is even with President Joe Biden after gaining ground on him following the previous survey, even as the former president becomes mired in a series of court cases.
Voters were asked their preferences between Trump and Biden and Biden and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis. Trump has a commanding lead over his fellow Republicans, including a 49-point margin over DeSantis, while gaining 4 points on Biden, with 43% of the vote each.
Biden defeated DeSantis 43% to 38% in a hypothetical matchup. Twelve percent said they would vote for an alternative candidate, and seven percent said they were undecided, the survey noted. That is a five-point increase for Biden over DeSantis.
Meanwhile, a new analysis of 2020 Census Bureau data is better news for Trump than it is for Biden, should the two face off against each other again next year.
The Electoral College map is looking better for Republicans, generally, as “red states such as Florida and Texas picked up Electoral College votes, while blue states such as California, New York, and Illinois lost them,” The Western Journal reported.
According to Ballotpedia, 13 states lost and gained electoral votes following the last census. Texas, for instance, gained an additional two congressional districts and electoral college votes. Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon each picked up one as well; three of those—Florida, Montana, and North Carolina—trend red or are genuinely red.3
At the same time, California, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia each lost one. Of those, California, Illinois, Michigan, and New York are blue or trend blue, while Pennsylvania is leaning that way. Ohio and West Virginia are reliably red.
“Biden won the 2020 race 306-232 in the Electoral College. However, with the new electoral vote breakdown in place, Biden’s win in 2020 would have dipped slightly to 303-235, according to the site 270 to Win,” The Western Journal noted.
The outlet expounded on the massive changes: